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1. If you're going to stink, you might as well stink with freshmen
Bob Diaco's first signing class, inked in February 2014, just weeks after he took the UConn head coaching job, consisted of just 16 players. It's just as well that your first class is small, as you haven't had time to get your bearings anyway. Instead of laying out a grand play -- this is where we're going to recruit, this is what we're going to sell, etc. -- you're just trying to secure previous commitments and figure out who's left.
A coach's abbreviated first class is often a space-filler before the real work. But for Diaco and the roster he inherited, it was a different story. Nine of the 16 played as true freshmen, even two offensive linemen.
Either Diaco wanted to make an imprint with "his" guys, or UConn was in desperate shape at running back, linebacker, cornerback, and offensive line, at least when it comes to filling out a two-deep. The former is optimistic, but the latter is more realistic.
The program Diaco inherited had been flagging. Too good defensively to bottom out, the Huskies had regressed for four years. Since peaking at 29th in the F/+ rankings in 2009 (the year before their unlikely Fiesta Bowl run), they sank to 62nd in 2010, then lost head coach Randy Edsall to Maryland. They replaced him with veteran Paul Pasqualoni and fell to 67th, then 75th, then 97th.
The hire of Diaco made sense. The New Jersey product had spent the previous five seasons as Brian Kelly's defensive coordinator, first at Cincinnati and then at Notre Dame. Most of his experience had come in the Midwest, but in a conference that spans from Connecticut to Houston, geography is a relative term. He is a charismatic speaker -- just look at those eyes -- and he won the Broyles Award, given to the nation's top assistant, for the job he had done with Notre Dame's defense in 2012. He was a hot commodity, and UConn got him.
If it turns out that Diaco knows what he's doing -- how to recruit, develop players, put them in position to succeed -- then we'll look back at 2014 as a necessary Year Zero, a reset for a program in need of one. UConn plummeted from 97th in F/+ to 119th, won two games (one by three points to FCS Stony Brook), lost five games by 17 or more points, and lost at home to a winless SMU in the finale. There was almost nothing redeeming, but if you are going to stink, you might as well stink with a young team. And if you turn things around, no one's going to care that you started 2-10.
Plenty of coaches have turned things around after a poor start -- my go-to examples: Lou Holtz going 0-11 in his first year at South Carolina, George O'Leary going 0-11 in his first year at UCF -- and a few second-year coaches led lovely surges just last season. But one has to just look at conference mate USF to know that a turnaround after a bad first year isn't a given.
There's no reason to write Diaco off yet, but we're still in wait-and-see mode.
2. So how's recruiting going?
Here's our UConn blog
"Look, the American Conference has got its name for a reason. It's a national footprint. You're playing teams in your conference in North Carolina, Louisiana, Florida, Ohio, Texas, Tennessee.
"If you don't recruit those states of those metro cities ... well, I guess it depends on resources, but we're definitely going into those cities. I researched direct flights from Hartford-Bradley to different cities. That's how we chose the cities we're going to go to the most. You're talking to kids about plane fare, accessibility."
According to the Rivals database, as of mid-July UConn had offered 32 2015 recruits from the state of New Jersey, 17 from Florida (the destination of many of those direct flights), 13 from Texas (hello, DFW), 11 from Illinois (hey there, Chicago), nine from Pennsylvania, and only seven from Connecticut.
When I spoke to Diaco for last year's Blueprint for a Rebuild piece, I was most curious about how he planned to reel in high-level talent in an area not known for having loads of high-level talent. His plan was to use Hartord-Bradley to his advantage.
It's a fool's errand to reach conclusions about a new coach's recruiting plan just one full class into his tenure, but I thought it would be interesting to see how Diaco performed in 2015 and where his signees came from.
It turned out to be local. Only one signee attended school in Connecticut, but four attended schools in New England, seven were from New Jersey, three were from New York, one was from Pennsylvania, and three were from the Maryland/Delaware/DC corridor. Within this group came some of the most-touted players: quarterback Tyler Davis, receivers Tyraiq Beals and Hergy Mayala, linebacker Nazir Williams, and five defensive linemen were given three-star designations by Rivals, the 247Sports Composite, or both.
In the end, only three came from outside: one from Illinois and two from Florida. If UConn begins to win in the coming years, it will be interesting to monitor if Diaco's national approach to recruiting begins to bear more fruit. But his immediate success will be determined by how well he can develop local talent.
2014 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Adj. Record: 2-10 | Final F/+ Rk: 119 |
Date |
Opponent |
Opp. F/+ Rk |
Score |
W-L |
Percentile
Performance |
Adj. Scoring
Margin |
Win
Expectancy |
29-Aug |
BYU |
46 |
10-35 |
L |
13% |
-26.5 |
0% |
6-Sep |
Stony Brook |
NR |
19-16 |
W |
16% |
-22.8 |
45% |
13-Sep |
Boise State |
21 |
21-38 |
L |
24% |
-16.7 |
1% |
19-Sep |
at South Florida |
123 |
14-17 |
L |
14% |
-25.3 |
11% |
27-Sep |
Temple |
67 |
10-36 |
L |
11% |
-28.9 |
0% |
11-Oct |
at Tulane |
93 |
3-12 |
L |
9% |
-31.5 |
4% |
23-Oct |
at East Carolina |
61 |
21-31 |
L |
54% |
2.6 |
35% |
1-Nov |
Central Florida |
60 |
37-29 |
W |
78% |
17.9 |
85% |
8-Nov |
vs. Army |
121 |
21-35 |
L |
17% |
-22.2 |
16% |
22-Nov |
Cincinnati |
47 |
0-41 |
L |
2% |
-48.9 |
0% |
29-Nov |
at Memphis |
41 |
10-41 |
L |
17% |
-22.3 |
0% |
6-Dec |
SMU |
127 |
20-27 |
L |
9% |
-31.8 |
27% |
Category |
Offense |
Rk |
Defense |
Rk |
S&P+ |
14.4 |
127 |
30.7 |
85 |
Points Per Game |
15.5 |
125 |
29.8 |
86 |
3. Hope, then no hope
This was likely to be a poor season no matter what; UConn faced seven teams that would end up ranking in the F/+ top 70, and even if the Huskies held steady, they weren't going to win more than four games even if they scored a decent upset somewhere along the line.
They got the upset, cashing in on four interceptions to take down defending AAC champion UCF on Homecoming. They also lost three games to teams ranked 121st or worse in F/+. A midseason peak that featured a sudden offensive breakout against ECU and the aforementioned havoc against UCF quickly fizzled.
- Average Percentile Performance (first 6 games): 15% (average score: Opp 26, UConn 15)
- Average Percentile Performance (next 3 games): 50% (average score: Opp 32, UConn 26)
- Average Percentile Performance (last 3 games): 9% (average score: Opp 36, UConn 10)
Following a frustrating loss to Army at Yankee Stadium -- a game in which UConn completed as many passes to Army (two) as Army did, and in which Army returned an interception 99 yards for a score with under 30 seconds left -- the Huskies basically folded, getting drubbed by Cincinnati and Memphis, then falling to a desperate SMU.
Offense
FIVE FACTORS -- OFFENSE |
|
Raw Category |
Rk |
Opp. Adj. Category |
Rk |
EXPLOSIVENESS |
IsoPPP |
0.78 |
102 |
IsoPPP+ |
75.8 |
120 |
EFFICIENCY |
Succ. Rt. |
32.7% |
127 |
Succ. Rt. + |
77.6 |
127 |
FIELD POSITION |
Def. Avg. FP |
32.4 |
115 |
Def. FP+ |
97.0 |
101 |
FINISHING DRIVES |
Pts. Per Trip in 40 |
3.2 |
126 |
Redzone S&P+ |
88.6 |
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TURNOVERS |
EXPECTED |
17.3 |
|
ACTUAL |
28 |
+10.7 |
Q1 Rk |
128 |
1st Down Rk |
124 |
Q2 Rk |
102 |
2nd Down Rk |
127 |
Q3 Rk |
107 |
3rd Down Rk |
110 |
Q4 Rk |
109 |
|
|
Quarterback
Note: players in bold below are 2015 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.
Player |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Rivals |
247 Comp. |
Comp |
Att |
Yards |
TD |
INT |
Comp
Rate |
Sacks |
Sack Rate |
Yards/
Att. |
Chandler Whitmer |
|
|
|
|
124 |
223 |
1522 |
11 |
8 |
55.6% |
25 |
10.1% |
5.5 |
Tim Boyle |
6'3, 220 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.7) |
0.8625 |
43 |
82 |
335 |
1 |
3 |
52.4% |
4 |
4.7% |
3.3 |
Casey Cochran |
|
|
|
|
17 |
31 |
171 |
0 |
1 |
54.8% |
0 |
0.0% |
5.5 |
Bryant Shirreffs
(NC State) |
6'1, 216 |
So. |
2 stars (5.3) |
0.7444 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Garrett Anderson |
6'2, 225 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
NR |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tyler Davis |
6'3, 214 |
Fr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. Got a quarterback?
There was a lot of shoddy quarterback play in the AAC, and by comparison, Chandler Whitmer wasn't too bad. The Illinois transfer provided a decent run threat, and his 56 percent completion rate was better than anybody else's on the team. When original starter Casey Cochran's career ended because of concussions, Whitmer oversaw an offense that was not any worse.
But when then-sophomore Tim Boyle began taking reps, UConn fans got a glimpse at the future, and the results weren't encouraging. Boyle looked decent against a solid Memphis but went 4-for-11 for 29 yards against SMU and finished the season with a paltry 83.5 passer rating.
With a new coordinator (Frank Verducci) and a new transfer (NC State's Bryant Shirreffs) in the mix, UConn will have an opportunity to reinvent both the offense and the requirements of the quarterback. The mobile Shirreffs was the leader for the job at the end of spring ball, but it appears Boyle, Tyler Davis, and recent JUCO commitment Garrett Anderson will have a chance to unseat him in August.
Running Back
Player |
Pos. |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Rivals |
247 Comp. |
Rushes |
Yards |
TD |
Yards/
Carry |
Hlt Yds/
Opp. |
Opp.
Rate |
Fumbles |
Fum.
Lost |
Ron Johnson |
RB |
5'11, 220 |
So. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8106 |
114 |
429 |
3 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
30.7% |
0 |
0 |
Max DeLorenzo |
RB |
5'11, 216 |
Sr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7960 |
77 |
343 |
1 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
28.6% |
2 |
2 |
Chandler Whitmer |
QB |
|
|
|
NR |
51 |
222 |
2 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
45.1% |
6 |
4 |
Arkeel Newsome |
RB |
5'7, 176 |
So. |
3 stars (5.6) |
0.8519 |
47 |
188 |
0 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
38.3% |
4 |
4 |
Josh Marriner |
RB |
5'9, 196 |
So. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8148 |
36 |
110 |
1 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
30.6% |
1 |
1 |
Deshon Foxx |
WR |
|
|
|
NR |
23 |
203 |
1 |
8.8 |
22.3 |
30.4% |
4 |
3 |
Tim Boyle |
QB |
6'3, 220 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.7) |
0.8625 |
12 |
7 |
0 |
0.6 |
N/A |
0.0% |
2 |
2 |
Receiving Corps
Player |
Pos. |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Rivals |
247 Comp. |
Targets |
Catches |
Yards |
Catch Rate |
Target
Rate |
%SD |
Yds/
Target |
NEY |
Real Yds/
Target |
RYPR |
Geremy Davis |
WR |
|
|
|
NR |
71 |
44 |
521 |
62.0% |
22.8% |
57.7% |
7.3 |
-15 |
7.3 |
59.0 |
Deshon Foxx |
WR |
|
|
|
NR |
54 |
30 |
384 |
55.6% |
17.3% |
72.2% |
7.1 |
11 |
7.5 |
43.4 |
Noel Thomas |
WR |
6'1, 193 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8414 |
47 |
26 |
305 |
55.3% |
15.1% |
46.8% |
6.5 |
-19 |
6.4 |
34.5 |
Dhameer Bradley |
WR |
5'10, 173 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.7) |
0.8316 |
31 |
15 |
100 |
48.4% |
9.9% |
38.7% |
3.2 |
-93 |
2.8 |
11.3 |
Sean McQuillan |
TE |
6'3, 247 |
Sr. |
3 stars (5.6) |
0.8074 |
27 |
16 |
158 |
59.3% |
8.7% |
55.6% |
5.9 |
-39 |
5.9 |
17.9 |
Arkeel Newsome |
RB |
5'7, 176 |
So. |
3 stars (5.6) |
0.8519 |
15 |
11 |
155 |
73.3% |
4.8% |
40.0% |
10.3 |
25 |
8.5 |
17.5 |
Thomas Lucas |
WR |
6'2, 203 |
So. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7960 |
15 |
9 |
122 |
60.0% |
4.8% |
46.7% |
8.1 |
12 |
8.4 |
13.8 |
Kamal Abrams |
WR |
|
|
|
NR |
13 |
5 |
43 |
38.5% |
4.2% |
61.5% |
3.3 |
-25 |
3.5 |
4.9 |
Josh Marriner |
RB |
5'9, 196 |
So. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8148 |
8 |
6 |
73 |
75.0% |
2.6% |
25.0% |
9.1 |
2 |
10.2 |
8.3 |
Jazzmar Clax |
FB |
5'11, 249 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8496 |
8 |
5 |
34 |
62.5% |
2.6% |
50.0% |
4.3 |
-27 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
Max DeLorenzo |
RB |
5'11, 216 |
Sr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7960 |
6 |
5 |
42 |
83.3% |
1.9% |
66.7% |
7.0 |
-16 |
6.7 |
4.8 |
Brian Lemelle |
WR |
5'10, 163 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.6) |
0.8522 |
6 |
5 |
27 |
83.3% |
1.9% |
33.3% |
4.5 |
-31 |
6.3 |
3.1 |
Alec Bloom |
TE |
6'6, 257 |
So. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.8056 |
4 |
3 |
40 |
75.0% |
1.3% |
0.0% |
10.0 |
5 |
NR |
4.5 |
Ron Johnson |
RB |
5'11, 220 |
So. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8106 |
4 |
3 |
20 |
75.0% |
1.3% |
25.0% |
5.0 |
-15 |
7.6 |
2.3 |
Tommy Myers |
TE |
6'5, 250 |
So. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7818 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
100.0% |
0.6% |
0.0% |
4.0 |
-15 |
NR |
0.9 |
Tyraiq Beals |
WR |
6'0, 180 |
Fr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.7933 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hergy Mayala |
WR |
6'1, 200 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8126 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Frank Battle |
WR |
6'5, 190 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8076 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. All sorts of 2016 experience
The hire of Verducci is an interesting one, both because of Verducci's unique résumé -- 35 years of coaching experience, with everyone from the Iowa Hawkeyes (he was a graduate assistant when Diaco was a defensive back) to the Buffalo Bills to the Montreal Alouettes, and with no coordinator experience -- and because of what he said about the offense.
His goal in spring ball was to introduce basic components, then let the talent on hand determine what his system will become. In a lot of ways, this makes sense. When building an offense from scratch, it's sensible to figure out what your personnel can do. But identity is important, and while it appears that Diaco prefers a mobile quarterback, saying "We'll see" doesn't lend a ton of confidence.
One assumes there will be quite a bit of running involved, however. Not only is Shirreffs a mobile option -- in limited action at NC State in 2013, he rushed 34 times and attempted just five passes -- but it seems UConn has more at running back than receiver.
Four backs return after carrying at least 36 times. Ron Johnson showed feature-back potential as a freshman, rushing 45 times in the final two games and going for 101 yards on 23 carries against SMU. Max DeLorenzo is a big option with nice open-field capabilities (when he gets to the open field). Arkeel Newsome showed efficiency potential as a freshman (and managed to fumble four times in just 58 touches). And while Josh Marirner didn't do much with his opportunities, he was still a three-star prospect.
Meanwhile, the only returnee who a) caught at least 10 passes last year and b) averaged at least 6.6 yards per target was Newsome. Noel Thomas had a nice late run of games, snaring 18 passes for 208 yards against UCF, Army, Cincinnati, and Memphis; he is almost by default the most proven receiver. Opportunity awaits any of the three-star freshmen.
Of all the players I just mentioned, by the way, everybody but DeLorenzo is scheduled to return in 2016. This unit could develop into something, but it's going to take a while.
Offensive Line
Player |
Pos. |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Rivals |
247 Comp. |
Career Starts |
Honors/Notes |
Alex Mateas |
C |
|
|
|
|
28 |
|
Gus Cruz |
LG |
|
|
|
|
19 |
|
Tyler Samra |
RG |
6'2, 290 |
Sr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8305 |
13 |
|
Richard Levy |
LT |
6'6, 308 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.3) |
0.7519 |
12 |
|
Dalton Gifford |
RT |
6'4, 307 |
Sr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8100 |
11 |
|
Andreas Knappe |
RT |
6'8, 310 |
Jr. |
NR |
NR |
7 |
|
Ryan Crozier |
C |
6'4, 294 |
So. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.7811 |
3 |
|
Paul Nwokeji |
LT |
6'6, 301 |
Sr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8115 |
0 |
|
Kyle Bockeloh |
C |
6'3, 298 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7000 |
0 |
|
Trey Rutherford |
LG |
6'5, 296 |
So. |
2 stars (5.3) |
0.7808 |
0 |
|
Tommy Hopkins |
LG |
6'6, 308 |
So. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.7995 |
0 |
|
Kyle Schafenacker |
OL |
6'3, 280 |
So. |
3 stars (5.6) |
0.8425 |
0 |
|
Brendan Vechery |
OL |
6'6, 299 |
So. |
NR |
NR |
0 |
|
6. Size isn't an issue
Your line stats aren't going to be good when you're blocking for freshmen and a variety of quarterbacks, but UConn's were particularly poor: the Huskies ranked 109th or worse in all but one of the stats above, and the "strength" (83rd in standard downs sack rate) wasn't much of one.
That's a shame because it seems like there might be potential. Five players return with starting experience (46 career starts), and of the 11 players listed above, five were three-stars. And size isn't an impediment, with 10 of the 11 going at least 290. Plus, as is the running theme, eight of the 11 are scheduled to return in 2016.
I would assume this big line ends up doing a lot of work in blocking for Shirreffs, Johnson, and company, and protecting Shirreffs in a lot of play-action situations. But really, the goal for every unit on this offense has to be figuring out what it's going to be and who's going to become a reliable contributor in 2016.
Defense
FIVE FACTORS -- DEFENSE |
|
Raw Category |
Rk |
Opp. Adj. Category |
Rk |
EXPLOSIVENESS |
IsoPPP |
0.78 |
26 |
IsoPPP+ |
104.4 |
55 |
EFFICIENCY |
Succ. Rt. |
41.8% |
74 |
Succ. Rt. + |
94.4 |
91 |
FIELD POSITION |
Off. Avg. FP |
28.7 |
99 |
Off. FP+ |
95.0 |
119 |
FINISHING DRIVES |
Pts. Per Trip in 40 |
4.6 |
87 |
Redzone S&P+ |
101.6 |
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TURNOVERS |
EXPECTED |
16.8 |
|
ACTUAL |
15.0 |
-1.8 |
Q1 Rk |
83 |
1st Down Rk |
70 |
Q2 Rk |
44 |
2nd Down Rk |
22 |
Q3 Rk |
110 |
3rd Down Rk |
94 |
Q4 Rk |
47 |
|
|
Defensive Line
Name |
Pos |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Rivals |
247 Comp. |
GP |
Tackles |
% of Team |
TFL |
Sacks |
Int |
PBU |
FF |
FR |
Julian Campenni |
NG |
6'0, 302 |
Sr. |
2 stars (5.3) |
0.7780 |
12 |
26.5 |
3.9% |
5.5 |
2.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Folorunso Fatukasi |
DT |
6'4, 298 |
So. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.7961 |
12 |
24.5 |
3.7% |
3.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Mikal Myers |
NG |
6'1, 326 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8139 |
12 |
24.0 |
3.6% |
6.0 |
2.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Kenton Adeyemi |
DE |
6'4, 287 |
Sr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8167 |
12 |
20.0 |
3.0% |
5.0 |
1.0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
Reuben Frank |
DE |
|
|
|
|
12 |
19.0 |
2.8% |
4.0 |
1.0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
B.J. McBryde |
DT |
|
|
|
|
12 |
17.5 |
2.6% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
Cole Ormsby |
DE |
6'3, 257 |
So. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.7900 |
10 |
12.5 |
1.9% |
5.0 |
3.5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Cameron Stapleton |
DE |
6'4, 246 |
So. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.7956 |
9 |
6.5 |
1.0% |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
David Ryslik |
DE |
6'3, 292 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8292 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kevin Murphy |
DT |
6'2, 270 |
Fr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8150 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Philippe Okounam |
DE |
6'5, 265 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.8118 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Connor Freebom |
DE |
6'6, 225 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.3) |
0.7973 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. All the components of a good run defense ...
Size? Check. The top four tacklers on the line averaged 6'3, 303, and each of the top five linebackers was at least 225.
Play-making ability? Certainly. Six linemen recorded at least three tackles for loss, as did four linebackers, and UConn ranked 42nd in Stuff Rate (run stops at or behind the line).
Depth? I think so -- seven linemen and five linebackers made at least 12.5 tackles.
In theory, there was a lot to like about UConn's run defense. But the Huskies ranked 88th in Rushing Success Rate+, meaning opponents were able to stay ahead of the chains. UConn kept big plays in check, allowing only 10 rushes of 20-plus yards (ninth in FBS), but the efficiency wasn't what it seemed it should be.
Of course, the run defense was still leaps and bounds ahead of the pass, which featured one of the nation's worst pass rushes and scant play-makers in the secondary.
The defense wasn't the problem, but it was still one of UConn's worst in recent years. It will be interesting to see what experience can do on the ground, though. Five of last year's seven linemen and four of five linebackers return, while the second string could feature more young upside than in any other area of the UConn defense.
I like the linebackers and the defensive tackles, even if there's a lot of work to be done at end, and I figure UConn's run defense will improve.
Linebackers
Name |
Pos |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Rivals |
247 Comp. |
GP |
Tackles |
% of Team |
TFL |
Sacks |
Int |
PBU |
FF |
FR |
Marquise Vann |
LB |
6'0, 226 |
Sr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8104 |
12 |
82.5 |
12.3% |
7.0 |
0.5 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
Graham Stewart |
LB |
6'1, 228 |
Sr. |
4 stars (5.8) |
0.8913 |
12 |
67.5 |
10.1% |
10.5 |
2.0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
Jefferson Ashiru |
LB |
|
|
|
NR |
9 |
33.5 |
5.0% |
3.5 |
0.5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Junior Joseph |
LB |
6'1, 242 |
So. |
2 stars (5.3) |
0.8306 |
11 |
32.5 |
4.8% |
4.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
Jon Hicks |
LB |
6'2, 238 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8124 |
12 |
13.5 |
2.0% |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Vontae Diggs |
LB |
6'2, 215 |
So. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8322 |
12 |
6.5 |
1.0% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Luke Carrezola |
LB |
6'3, 248 |
So. |
2 stars (5.2) |
NR |
6 |
5.5 |
0.8% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Brandon Steg |
LB |
|
|
|
|
10 |
3.5 |
0.5% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Omaine Stephens |
LB |
6'3, 227 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.7000 |
9 |
2.5 |
0.4% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Matthew Walsh |
LB |
6'1, 235 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7860 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jalen Stevens |
LB |
6'3, 225 |
So. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8309 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nazir Williams |
LB |
6'3, 225 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.3) |
0.8190 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
William Richardson |
LB |
6'3, 220 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7988 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Secondary
Name |
Pos |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Rivals |
247 Comp. |
GP |
Tackles |
% of Team |
TFL |
Sacks |
Int |
PBU |
FF |
FR |
Andrew Adams |
S |
6'0, 197 |
Sr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7694 |
12 |
80.5 |
12.0% |
0.5 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
Obi Melifonwu |
S |
6'3, 214 |
Jr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8189 |
11 |
63.5 |
9.5% |
3.5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
Jhavon Williams |
CB |
5'10, 194 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7988 |
12 |
33.0 |
4.9% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
Byron Jones |
CB |
|
|
|
|
7 |
20.0 |
3.0% |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
Jamar Summers |
CB |
6'0, 177 |
So. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.7981 |
12 |
19.0 |
2.8% |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
Junior Lee |
S |
6'0, 209 |
Sr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8148 |
12 |
18.5 |
2.8% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
John Green |
CB |
5'10, 180 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8069 |
12 |
8.5 |
1.3% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
Brice McAllister |
CB |
5'11, 193 |
So. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.7865 |
5 |
6.0 |
0.9% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Javon Hadley |
CB |
5'10, 165 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8248 |
5 |
5.0 |
0.7% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
Jeremy Claflin |
S |
6'1, 212 |
Sr. |
NR |
NR |
8 |
3.5 |
0.5% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Ellis Marder |
S |
6'1, 191 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.7913 |
5 |
2.5 |
0.4% |
0.5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Jordan Floyd |
S |
6'0, 214 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8186 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Green |
CB |
5'10, 180 |
Jr. |
2 stars (5.4) |
0.8069 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Aaron Garland |
DB |
5'11, 190 |
Fr. |
3 stars (5.5) |
0.8141 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marshe Terry |
DB |
6'4, 190 |
Fr. |
2 stars (5.2) |
0.7983 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. All sorts of 2016 experience, part 2
Safeties Andrew Adams and Obi Melifonwu combined for four tackles for loss, four picks, and seven breakups, and returning corners Jhavon Williams, Jamar Summers, and John Green combined for 14 breakups and one interception. That's really not bad considering how long quarterbacks had to find open receivers, but UConn's iffy pass defense went beyond the pass rush. There were a few too many big plays along the way, as well.
That Adams and backup safety Junior Lee are the only seniors, though, is a good thing. If Diaco and coordinator Anthony Poindexter can figure out how to get pressure on passers, this should be one hell of an active unit in 2016.
Special Teams
Punter |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Punts |
Avg |
TB |
FC |
I20 |
FC/I20
Ratio |
Justin Wain |
6'3, 209 |
Jr. |
74 |
38.8 |
4 |
30 |
17 |
63.5% |
Bobby Puyol |
5'10, 173 |
Jr. |
6 |
35.0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
83.3% |
Kicker |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Kickoffs |
Avg |
TB |
OOB |
TB% |
Bobby Puyol |
5'10, 173 |
Jr. |
44 |
56.8 |
5 |
2 |
11.4% |
Place-Kicker |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
PAT |
FG
(0-39) |
Pct |
FG
(40+) |
Pct |
Bobby Puyol |
5'10, 173 |
Jr. |
19-22 |
5-8 |
62.5% |
4-6 |
66.7% |
Returner |
Pos. |
Ht, Wt |
2015
Year |
Returns |
Avg. |
TD |
Arkeel Newsome |
KR |
5'7, 176 |
So. |
36 |
20.3 |
0 |
Brian Lemelle |
KR |
5'10, 163 |
Jr. |
5 |
23.2 |
0 |
Deshon Foxx |
PR |
|
|
10 |
8.1 |
1 |
Category |
Rk |
Special Teams F/+ |
101 |
Field Goal Efficiency |
83 |
Punt Return Efficiency |
105 |
Kick Return Efficiency |
107 |
Punt Efficiency |
78 |
Kickoff Efficiency |
35 |
Opponents' Field Goal Efficiency |
78 |
9. Decent components?
UConn's kick coverage unit performed well, leading the Huskies to a No. 35 kickoff efficiency ranking despite Bobby Puyol only booting a touchback on one of every nine kicks.
That's the entire list of strengths. Puyol was better on longer field goals than shorter ones -- he was 4-for-6 over 40 yards but only 5-for-8 under 40 and 19-for-22 on PATs -- and while punts from Justin Wain were high, they weren't far. And aside from one Deshon Foxx punt return touchdown, returns were pretty much non-existent.
2015 Schedule & Projection Factors
2015 Schedule |
Date |
Opponent |
2014 F/+ Rk |
3-Sep |
Villanova |
NR |
12-Sep |
Army |
121 |
19-Sep |
at Missouri |
20 |
26-Sep |
Navy |
44 |
2-Oct |
at BYU |
46 |
10-Oct |
at Central Florida |
60 |
17-Oct |
South Florida |
123 |
24-Oct |
at Cincinnati |
47 |
30-Oct |
East Carolina |
61 |
7-Nov |
at Tulane |
93 |
21-Nov |
Houston |
73 |
28-Nov |
at Temple |
67 |
Five-Year F/+ Rk |
-15.2% (90) |
2- and 5-Year Recruiting Rk |
90 / 77 |
2014 TO Margin / Adj. TO Margin* |
-13 / -0.4 |
2014 TO Luck/Game |
-5.2 |
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) |
14 (6, 8) |
2014 Second-order wins (difference) |
2.2 (-0.2) |
|
10. Life after the reset button
There were second-year surges last year -- Sonny Dykes at California, Bret Bielema at Arkansas, Dave Doeren at NC State, Skip Holtz at Louisiana Tech, Sean Kugler at UTEP. On average, these five went from three wins and an F/+ ranking of 103rd in 2013 to seven wins and 51st in 2014. None of the five was expected to do as well as he did. That's the Year Zero effect.
Is there potential for a similar rise at UConn? Probably not. If the running game catches hold, then there's possible for improvement into the 90s or so on offense, and if the run defense improves as I expect, then maybe the defense will creep back into the 50s or 60s in Def. S&P+. Average that out, and maybe this becomes a top-80 team.
But that's too big a leap to count on, especially considering how bad the offense has been for going on five years now. The odds are much better than UConn improves to around 100th, and while that's something you can build off of, it won't result in many 2015 wins, not with only four opponents who ranked worse than 73rd last year.
I like Diaco, and I think he could still get UConn back to a bowl-level team, but this is a multi-year rebuilding project.
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