2014 college football rankings, Week 10: The composite Top 25

Mississippi State holds on to No. 1 in the AP, while Auburn moves into the top four. Now we'll see Tuesday night what the selection committee thinks.

Just two Top 25 teams lost in Week 9, but one of them was a big one: Ole Miss, previously ranked No. 3 in the AP, fell to LSU, opening a top-four spot for the taking. Alabama has snatched that spot in both polls, with Mississippi State hanging on to the top.

Below, we've combined the two big human polls with two well-known computer rankings to produce a composite. It might be the best guess out there as to how the selection committee is thinking, heading into its first rankings release at 7:30 p.m. ET Tuesday night, with one exception: there's almost no way the committee will declare four SEC teams to be the country's best. The real best guess, then, might be drop a few of those top SEC teams. Expect Mississippi State and Florida State to be the committee's top two, with Michigan State, Oregon, TCU, and several SEC teams among the next bunch.

For now, here are the composite rankings:

	Composite	Average		AP	Coaches	F/+	Massey
1	Mississippi State	2.25	1	Mississippi State	Mississippi State	Ole Miss	Alabama
2	Alabama	2.5	2	Florida State	Florida State	Auburn	Ole Miss
3	Auburn	3.5	3	Alabama	Alabama	Alabama	Mississippi State
4	Ole Miss	4.75	4	Auburn	Auburn	Mississippi State	Auburn
5	Florida State	5	5	Oregon	Michigan State	Oregon	Florida State
6	Oregon	5.75	6	Notre Dame	Oregon	Oklahoma	Georgia
7	Michigan State	8.5	7	Ole Miss	Notre Dame	TCU	Oregon
8	Georgia	9.25	8	Michigan State	Georgia	Ohio State	LSU
8	TCU	9.25	9	Georgia	Ole Miss	Clemson	Kansas State
10	Notre Dame	11.75	10	TCU	TCU	Michigan State	TCU
11	Kansas State	12	11	Kansas State	Kansas State	Florida State	Michigan State
12	LSU	13.25	12	Baylor	Baylor	LSU	Oklahoma
13	Ohio State	13.75	13	Ohio State	Ohio State	Nebraska	Arizona State
14	Oklahoma	14.25	14	Arizona	Arizona State	Georgia	Baylor
15	Baylor	14.5	15	Arizona State	Arizona	Louisville	Notre Dame
16	Arizona State	15	16	LSU	Nebraska	Miami	Clemson
17	Nebraska	15.75	17	Nebraska	LSU	Kansas State	Nebraska
18	Clemson	17	18	Utah	Utah	Arizona State	Texas A&M
19	Arizona	19	19	Oklahoma	East Carolina	Notre Dame	West Virginia
20	West Virginia	21.5	20	West Virginia	Oklahoma	Baylor	Arizona
21	Utah	23	21	East Carolina	Clemson	Stanford	Ohio State
22	Marshall	23.75	22	Clemson	West Virginia	Marshall	UCLA
23	UCLA	24	23	Marshall	Marshall	USC	Missouri
24	Duke	27	24	Duke	Duke	UCLA	Utah
25	East Carolina	30.25	25	UCLA	UCLA	West Virginia	USC

The four rankings we use:

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The Associated Press Top 25: The longest-running and best-respected human poll. Didn't have any official bearing on the latter years of the BCS, and won't have any official bearing on the Playoff. Expect it to set the course for the committee, however, as most outlets (including SB Nation) will use the AP's rankings as the standard until the committee takes over in late October. Usually comes out Sundays around 2 p.m. ET.

The USA Today Coaches Poll: Formerly part of the BCS, and now just a poll. It tends to be more conservative than the AP's. Though polling athletic departments in order to rank other athletic departments is dubious, we still want multiple human polls in here, and it's the other big one. Releases early Sunday afternoons.

The Massey Rating: An early-Sunday computer ranking. This is not the Massey formula the BCS used, which excluded margin of victory.

Football Outsiders' F/+ rating: A synthesis of ratings by smart persons Bill Connelly and Brian Fremeau and our personal go-to overall team stat. It tends to come out later than the others.

Last week's composite Top 25:

	Composite	Average		AP	Coaches	F/+	Massey
1	Ole Miss	2	1	Mississippi State	Mississippi State	Ole Miss	Ole Miss
2	Mississippi State	3	2	Florida State	Florida State	Oklahoma	Alabama
3	Alabama	3.25	3	Ole Miss	Ole Miss	Alabama	Auburn
4	Auburn	4.75	4	Alabama	Alabama	TCU	Mississippi State
4	Florida State	4.75	5	Auburn	Michigan State	Auburn	Florida State
6	Oregon	6.75	6	Oregon	Auburn	Mississippi State	Georgia
7	TCU	8	7	Notre Dame	Oregon	Oregon	Oregon
8	Georgia	8.25	8	Michigan State	Notre Dame	Ohio State	TCU
9	Michigan State	10	9	Georgia	Georgia	Georgia	Michigan State
10	Notre Dame	11.25	10	TCU	TCU	Florida State	Kansas State
11	Oklahoma	12.25	11	Kansas State	Kansas State	Clemson	Notre Dame
12	Ohio State	12.75	12	Baylor	Ohio State	UCLA	Oklahoma
13	Baylor	13	13	Ohio State	Baylor	Arizona State	Baylor
14	Kansas State	13.75	14	Arizona State	Arizona State	Baylor	Clemson
15	Arizona State	14.25	15	Arizona	Arizona	Louisville	LSU
16	Clemson	16.5	16	Nebraska	Nebraska	Marshall	Arizona State
17	Nebraska	17.25	17	Oklahoma	East Carolina	Nebraska	Texas A&M
18	Arizona	20.5	18	East Carolina	Oklahoma	Michigan State	Ohio State
19	Utah	20.75	19	Utah	Utah	Notre Dame	UCLA
20	UCLA	21	20	USC	Clemson	Virginia Tech	Nebraska
20	USC	21	21	Clemson	USC	USC	Missouri
22	Marshall	22	22	West Virginia	Marshall	West Virginia	USC
23	LSU	22.25	23	Marshall	LSU	Kansas State	Arizona
24	West Virginia	23.25	24	LSU	Minnesota	Duke	West Virginia
25	East Carolina	26.5	25	UCLA	West Virginia	Georgia Tech	Utah

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